More on p-values etc etc etc

Deborah Mayo writes: How should journal editors react to heated disagreements about statistical significance tests in applied fields, such as conservation science, where statistical inferences often are the basis for controversial policy decisions? They should avoid taking sides. They should also avoid obeisance to calls for author guidelines to reflect...

14h

Could voting restrictions be increasing election fraud?

Webcast Thursday, 27 January at 12 PM ET with Jonathan Auerbach: We estimate the change in the reported number of voter fraud cases when states switch to conducting elections by mail. We consider states where many voters have historically received ballots by mail and a subset where registered voters are automatically sent ballots by mail. We compare...

18h

About that A/C repairman story . . .

Paul Alper points us to this horrifying story of our modern world: A former Houston police captain, who the authorities said was investigating a voter fraud conspiracy theory for a conservative activist group, was arrested and charged with pointing his gun at an air-conditioner repairman he had pursued to try to uncover fraudulent ballots, prosecutors...

1d

Whitehead, no Russell. Chicken, no chaser.

From an article about Colson Whitehead: Whitehead stopped at the corner of Morningside Avenue, the location of Carney’s shop in the novel. (“This used to be a fried chicken joint,” he said, pointing out the M&G Diner sign still hanging above what is now a men’s clothing boutique.) I went to that chicken place once! It was horrible. The suspicions...

2d

Not-so-obviously heuristic-proof reforms to statistical communication

This is Jessica. I’ve subscribed to aspects of the “estimation” movement–the move toward emphasizing magnitude and uncertainty of effects and testing multiple hypotheses rather than NHST–for awhile, having read this blog for years and switched over to using Bayesian stats when I first became faculty. I try to write results sections of papers that focus...

2d

Djokovic, data sleuthing, and the Case of the Incoherent Covid Test Records

Kaiser Fung tells the story. First the background: Australia, having pursued a zero Covid policy for most of the pandemic, only allows vaccinated visitors to enter. Djokovic, who’s the world #1 male tennis player, is also a prominent anti-vaxxer. Much earlier in the pandemic, he infamously organized a tennis tournament, which had to be aborted when...

3d

More on the oldest famous person

Following up on our discussion from the other day, Paul Campos writes: Fame itself is a complex concept. For example, we have at least a couple of important variables to take into account: (1) Cultural contingency. Someone can be immensely famous within a particular subculture but largely unknown to the broader public. A couple of examples that come...

3d

“Deep Maps model of the labor force: The impact of the current employment crisis on places and people”

Yair Ghitza and Mark Steitz write: The Deep Maps model of the labor force projects official government labor force statistics down to specific neighborhoods and types of people in those places. In this website, you can create maps that show estimates of unemployment and labor force participation by race, education, age, gender, marital status, and...

4d

Jobs using statistical modeling (including Stan) in biotech!

Nathan Sanders writes: Montai Health is an early-stage biotechnology company developing a platform for understanding and leveraging complex molecular interactions within organisms to solve global challenges in human health and sustainability. The company leverages a multidisciplinary approach that integrates tools ranging from machine learning and...

4d

What went wrong in the labeling of those cool graphs of y(t) vs. y'(t)?

Last week we discussed the cool graphs in geographer Danny Dorling’s recent book, “Slow Down.” Here’s an example: Dorling is plotting y(t) vs y'(t), tracing over time with a dot for each year, or every few years. I really like this. But commenter Carlos noticed a problem with the above graph: Comparing 1970-1980 to 1980-1990 the former period...

5d