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When do we expect conformal prediction sets to be helpful? 

This is Jessica. Over on substack, Ben Recht has been posing some questions about the value  of prediction bands with marginal guarantees, such as one gets from conformal prediction. It’s an interesting discussion that caught my attention since I have also been musing about where conformal prediction might be helpful.  To briefly review, given a training...

Wed Feb 21, 2024 00:19
A gathering of the literary critics: Louis Menand and Thomas Mallon, meet Jeet Heer

Marshall McLuhan: The environment is not visible. It’s information. It’s electronic. Normal Mailer: Well, nonetheless, nature still exhibits manifestations which defy all methods of collecting information and data. For example, an earthquake may occur, or a tidal wave may come in, or a hurricane may strike. And the information will lag critically behind...

Mon Feb 19, 2024 18:49
Lefty Driesell and Bobby Knight

This obit of the legendary Maryland basketball coach reminded me of a discussion we had a few years ago. It started with a remark in a published article by political scientist Diana Mutz identifying herself as “a Hoosier by birth and upbringing, the daughter of a former Republican officeholder, and someone who still owns a home in Mike Pence’s hometown.”...

Mon Feb 19, 2024 02:28
Here’s some academic advice for you: Never put your name on a paper you haven’t read.

Success has many fathers, but failure is an orphan. Jonathan Falk points to this news article by Tom Bartlett which has this hilarious bit: What at first had appeared to be a landmark study . . . seemed more like an embarrassment . . . [The second-to-last author of the paper,] Armando Solar-Lezama, a professor in the electrical-engineering and computer-science...

Sun Feb 18, 2024 19:00
If school funding doesn’t really matter, why do people want their kid’s school to be well funded?

A question came up about the effects of school funding and student performance, and we were referred to this review article from a few years ago by Larry Hedges, Terri Pigott, Joshua Polanin, Ann Marie Ryan, Charles Tocci, and Ryan Williams: One question posed continually over the past century of education research is to what extent school resources...

Sun Feb 18, 2024 01:00
Hey, here’s some free money for you! Just lend your name to this university and they’ll pay you $1000 for every article you publish!

Remember that absolutely ridiculous claim that scientific citations are worth $100,000 each? It appears that someone is taking this literally. Or, nearly so. Nick Wise has the story: A couple of months ago a professor received the following email, which they forwarded to me. Dear esteemed colleagues, We are delighted to extend an invitation to...

Sun Feb 18, 2024 01:00

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