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Professor for Qualitative Methods, Political Science

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The peer review process as a preregistration device

Preregistration of an analysis requires the prior unobservability of data. One publicly declares what one intends to do before one can access data. One goal of preregistration is to diffuse potential concerns that a publication misrepresents the order in which an empirical analysis was implemented. Reasons for prior unobservability of data could be...

The peer review process as a preregistration device

Preregistration of an analysis requires the prior unobservability of data. One publicly declares what one intends to do before one can access data. One goal of preregistration is to diffuse potential concerns that a publication misrepresents the order in which an empirical analysis was implemented. Reasons for prior unobservability of data could be...

Confirmation bias in causal qualitative research

The bi-annual publication of the APSA Section on Qualitative Methods and Multi-Method Research has a highly interesting and controversial symposium on confirmation bias in process tracing in its current issue. I have written a Twitter thread on the question of what the evidence for confirmation bias in qualitative research is. Thanks to the app Threadreader,...

Confirmation bias in causal qualitative research

The bi-annual publication of the APSA Section on Qualitative Methods and Multi-Method Research has a highly interesting and controversial symposium on confirmation bias in process tracing in its current issue. I have written a Twitter thread on the question of what the evidence for confirmation bias in qualitative research is. Thanks to the app Threadreader,...

Gap-filling, puzzle-solving and replication in empirical research

A common justification of empirical research is that a gap in the literature needs to be filled. I have seen this reasoning in all kinds of papers and presentations by Master students, PhD researchers, Postdocs and professors (probably the less, the more advanced the academic career is). It is not wrong to justify a study with gap-filling, but it is...

Gap-filling, puzzle-solving and replication in empirical research

A common justification of empirical research is that a gap in the literature needs to be filled. I have seen this reasoning in all kinds of papers and presentations by Master students, PhD researchers, Postdocs and professors (probably the less, the more advanced the academic career is). It is not wrong to justify a study with gap-filling, but it is...

Theoretically non-exclusive hypotheses in Bayesian process tracing

Inspired by an email exchange I had with someone on theoretically non-exclusive hypotheses in Bayesian process tracing, I believed it might be useful to write down some thoughts in a blog post. It ended up as a PDF on Github because it has a minor R element and formal notation.

Theoretically non-exclusive hypotheses in Bayesian process tracing

Inspired by an email exchange I had with someone on theoretically non-exclusive hypotheses in Bayesian process tracing, I believed it might be useful to write down some thoughts in a blog post. It ended up as a PDF on Github because it has a minor R element and formal notation.

“Context” is important, but (almost) useless if used as a causal category

When making causal (or descriptive) inferences, it is important to think about the context within which the causal relationship is expected to hold because it probably does not hold universally and, possibly, only in a limited setting. Falleti and Lynch have written an excellent article about “context” (I drop the “” now) in relation with causal mechanisms....

“Context” is important, but (almost) useless if used as a causal category

When making causal (or descriptive) inferences, it is important to think about the context within which the causal relationship is expected to hold because it probably does not hold universally and, possibly, only in a limited setting. Falleti and Lynch have written an excellent article about “context” (I drop the “” now) in relation with causal mechanisms....

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