Calculated Risk - RSS Feed

Finance and Economics

Latest articles

Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Q2 Flow of Funds

Thursday:• At 8:30 AM ET, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released.  The consensus is for 320 thousand initial claims, down from 332 thousand last week.• Also at 8:30 AM, Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August. This is a composite index of other data.• At 11:00 AM, the Kansas City Fed manufacturing survey for September.•...

September 22nd COVID-19: 7-Day Average New Cases Off 20% from Recent High

The CDC is the source for all data.According to the CDC, on Vaccinations.  Total doses administered: 387,493,716, as of a week ago 382,294,795, or 0.74 million doses per day.COVID Metrics  TodayWeekAgoGoal Percent fully Vaccinated54.9%54.1%≥70.0%1 Fully Vaccinated (millions)182.4179.7≥2321 New Cases per Day3127,655147,804≤5,0002 Hospitalized382,87091,282≤3,0002...

Black Knight: National Mortgage Delinquency Rate Decreased in August

Note: At the beginning of the pandemic, the delinquency rate increased sharply (see table below).   Loans in forbearance are counted as delinquent in this survey, but those loans are not reported as delinquent to the credit bureaus.From Black Knight: Black Knight: With Moratoria Lifted, Foreclosure Starts Edge Higher, But Still 80% Below Pre-Pandemic...

FOMC Projections and Press Conference

Statement here. Fed Chair Powell press conference video here starting at 2:30 PM ET.Here are the projections. In June, most participants expected around two rate hikes in 2023.  Now, about half of participants expect one rates hike in 2022. Wall Street forecasts were for GDP to increase at a 8.6% annual rate in Q2 (came in at 6.6%) and forecasts for...

FOMC Statement: No Policy Change; Taper "May soon be warranted"

FOMC Statement: The Federal Reserve is committed to using its full range of tools to support the U.S. economy in this challenging time, thereby promoting its maximum employment and price stability goals. With progress on vaccinations and strong policy support, indicators of economic activity and employment have continued to strengthen. The sectors...

AIA: "Architecture billings continue to increase" in August

Note: This index is a leading indicator primarily for new Commercial Real Estate (CRE) investment.From the AIA: Architecture billings continue to increaseThe Architecture Billings Index (ABI) recorded its seventh consecutive positive month, according to a new report today from The American Institute of Architects (AIA).The ABI score for August was 55.6,...

Comments on August Existing Home Sales

In the Newsletter I have additional comments on August existing home sales.This was the first month this year with sales down year-over-year. This should continue through the rest of the year, since sales averaged 6.6 million SAAR over the last four months of 2020.

NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 5.88 million in August

From the NAR: Existing-Home Sales Recede 2.0% in AugustExisting-home sales retreated in August, breaking two straight months of increases, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Each of the four major U.S. regions experienced declines on both a month-over-month and a year-over-year perspective. Total existing-home sales, completed transactions...

MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications increased 4.9 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending September 17, 2021. The previous week’s results included an adjustment for the Labor Day...

Wednesday: Existing Home Sales, FOMC Announcement

Wednesday:• At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index.• During the day, The AIA's Architecture Billings Index for August (a leading indicator for commercial real estate).• At 10:00 AM, Existing Home Sales for August from the National Association of Realtors (NAR). The...

Discover, share and read the best on the web

Follow RSS Feeds, Blogs, Podcasts, Twitter searches, Facebook pages, even Email Newsletters! Get unfiltered news feeds or filter them to your liking.

Get Inoreader
Inoreader - Follow RSS Feeds, Blogs, Podcasts, Twitter searches, Facebook pages, even Email Newsletters!