Politics Podcast: Why The California Recall Has Grown More Competitive

FiveThirtyEight   More: Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS There are two special primary elections happening in Ohio this week, each with implications for Democrats’ and Republicans’ debates about how tightly to...

6h

The Response To The Jan. 6 Select Committee Paints A Worrying Picture Of Our Democracy

sarah (Sarah Frostenson, politics editor): Initially, both Republican and Democratic lawmakers condemned the mob of Trump supporters that attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6. But those days are long gone. A House-led investigation into what happened that day is currently underway in the form of a select committee, but it is for all intents...

18h

Covid Cases Are Rising. This Is What Americans Think We Should Do.

Cases of COVID-19 are surging in the U.S., largely due to the spread of the delta variant. Earlier this summer, an average of 11,000-15,000 cases per day were reported to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, but that average is now surpassing 60,000 per day. The federal government and some states have started taking measures to try to increase...

1d

Partisanship Isn’t The Only Reason Why So Many Americans Remain Unvaccinated

Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. It’s easy to blame partisanship for everything these days. Including the speed with which COVID-19 is raging through the U.S., causing cases to spike and CDC guidance to shift.  The delta variant is spreading rapidly in part because around 30 percent of Americans remain entirely...

3d

Politics Podcast: What Americans Think About Vaccines, Mask Mandates And Shutdowns As COVID-19 Cases Spike

FiveThirtyEight   More: Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS Cases of COVID-19 are surging in the U.S., largely due to the spread of the delta variant. Earlier this summer, an average of 11,000-15,000 cases per day...

4d

Gavin Newsom Has Reason To Worry

It’s official: For only the fourth time in U.S. history, a state will hold an election on whether to recall its governor midterm. The long-expected gubernatorial recall election in California is set for Sept. 14, and 46 candidates (not including the governor himself, Democrat Gavin Newsom) have officially qualified to run. But perhaps the most intriguing...

4d

Where Marjorie Taylor Greene’s False Claim About COVID-19 And Obesity Came From

This is the latest edition of our column that excavates the origins of public figures’ factually dubious comments. We explain what their claims are referring to, the evidence (or lack thereof) behind them and where they sprang from in the first place. Who said what … On July 19, Republican Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia...

5d

The Mysterious Case Of 2020’s Polling Error

In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew looks back at the record number of Democrats who ran for president in 2020 and assesses where they are now. They also review a new report from the American Association for Public Opinion Research on why election polls were historically off in 2020.

5d

Will A Pro-Vaccination Push By GOP Leaders Change The Minds Of Unvaccinated Americans?

Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. sarah (Sarah Frostenson, politics editor): With the delta variant of the coronavirus surging in the U.S. and COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations once again on the rise, there is a renewed sense of urgency that people get vaccinated — as...

5d

How A Special Election In Texas’s 6th District Tested Trump’s Influence On The GOP

UPDATE (July 28, 2021, 7:46 a.m.): On Tuesday, Republican state Rep. Jake Ellzey handily defeated longtime GOP activist Susan Wright by nearly 7 percentage points in a special election runoff for control of Texas’s 6th District. With Ellzey and Wright running on nearly identical platforms, the race was largely viewed as a test of former President Donald...

6d