When a person asks a question of an LLM, the LLM responds. But there’s a good chance of an some error in the answer. Depending on the model or the question, it could be a 10% chance or 20% or much higher. The inaccuracy could be a hallucination (a fabricated answer) or a wrong answer or a partially correct answer. So a person can enter in many different...

The fastest growing category of US venture investment in 2024 is AI. Venture capitalists have invested $18.3 billion through the first four months of the year. At this pace, we should expect AI startups to raise about $55b in 2024. AI startups now command more than 20% share of all US venture dollars across categories, including healthcare, biotech,...

Amazon announced their earnings yesterday. Like Microsoft & Google, Amazon’s Web Service business is seeing a surge of growth, up from 13% annual to 17% annual growth (16% when excluding the leap year). Aside from the overall growth of these clouds increasing, the massive investment in CapEx data centers, power plants, and GPUs is stunning. ...

What drives the acquisition market of startups? It’s the big deals. In the last decade, the total number of venture backed software M&A by count has remained relatively constant. The black line shows the linear trend across US venture backed companies with disclosed values of $50m or more. The average & median counts by year total 58 &...

If it wasn’t clear before, AI is the single biggest revenue driver in cloud. Microsoft’s Azure is winning share directly from Amazon. In Feburary, Microsoft grew 2% & Amazon lost 2%. Google is also taking share - 1% in the last year. A one percentage point share shift represents about $750 million of spend or about $5b in market cap. Quarter...

Enterprises spend more on security but aren’t benefitting from the extra spend. Palo Alto Networks’ customers who buy security across 3 platforms spend more than 40x those that secure just one. Despite those dollars… “Adding incremental point products is not necessarily driving a better security outcome for them.” - Nikesh Arora, CEO of Palo Alto...